The School of College Oddsodds.college
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UC Santa Barbara Gauchos v Cal Baptist Lancers

Kickoff: 2026-05-11 23:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local)

Prediction 60.21%1.66fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -3.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.89%60.07%60.61%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.581.591.6264.94%63.42%62.89%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cal Baptist Lancers (Visit)

Prediction 39.79%2.51fair odd
EV -0.523%
Edge -0.209%
Kelly -0.349%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%39.93%39.39%42.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.332.322.5045.45%42.96%43.10%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Local): 60.21%; Cal Baptist Lancers (Visit): 39.79%. For Cal Baptist Lancers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -0.523%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -2.46%E -1.52%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -7.29%E -3.13%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 19:30
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.67%E -2.29%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.46%E -5.66%K -10.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 13:19
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.67%E -2.29%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.46%E -5.66%K -10.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 13:20
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.67%E -2.29%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.46%E -5.66%K -10.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 13:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -4.27%E -2.68%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -7.69%E -3.31%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 12:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -4.27%E -2.68%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -7.69%E -3.31%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 12:49
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.27%E -2.68%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 12:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.27%E -2.68%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 20:59
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -0.523%E -0.209%K -0.349%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 16:34
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.50%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 15:59
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.50%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 13:44
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.07%E -3.89%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.48%E -3.69%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 17:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.68%E -4.31%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 23:25
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.28%E -4.73%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.50%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 17:00
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.28%E -4.73%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.50%E -1.88%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 16:07
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%3.7%2026-05-11 23:12