Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.30
assuming max odds 1.31
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC San Diego Tritons (Local): 23.59%; Oregon Ducks (Visit): 76.41%. For UC San Diego Tritons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.46%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV +1.46%E +0.339%K +0.441%G +0.006% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -7.55%E -6.24%K -35.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-25 22:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.08I 24.51%NM 22.87%EV -3.74%E -0.915%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.13%EV -7.55%E -6.24%K -35.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-25 21:47 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.62%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.49%E -3.59%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 21:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.62%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.26%E -4.24%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-25 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.62%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.79%E -5.56%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-25 21:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.62%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.79%E -5.56%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-25 21:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.62%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.79%E -5.56%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-25 21:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.62%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.79%E -5.56%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-25 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.62%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.79%E -5.56%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-25 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.62%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.79%E -5.56%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-25 21:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.62%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -7.55%E -6.24%K -35.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-25 21:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.62%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -7.55%E -6.24%K -35.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-25 21:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.62%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -7.55%E -6.24%K -35.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-25 21:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.75%EV -6.09%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.25%EV -5.26%E -4.24%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-25 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.75%EV -6.09%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.25%EV -5.26%E -4.24%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-25 22:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -10.34%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.79%E -5.56%K -30.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-25 22:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.34%E -2.72%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -7.55%E -6.24%K -35.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-25 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -19.78%E -5.82%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -0.673%E -0.517%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-25 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -24.50%E -7.66%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV +0.091%E +0.070%K +0.295%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-25 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -24.50%E -7.66%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -0.673%E -0.517%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-25 22:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 21:59 |