The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UC San Diego Tritons v Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC San Diego Tritons (Local)

Prediction 37.05%2.70fair odd
EV +0.024%
Edge +0.009%
Kelly +0.014%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.62%36.75%37.05%40.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.292.522.502.7043.67%39.67%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Visit)

Prediction 62.95%1.59fair odd
EV -0.532%
Edge -0.337%
Kelly -0.918%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.17%63.25%62.95%65.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.491.491.5869.93%67.06%67.11%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC San Diego Tritons (Local): 37.05%; Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Visit): 62.95%. For UC San Diego Tritons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.699. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.700, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.024%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +0.024%E +0.009%K +0.014%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.72%E -6.01%K -19.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 17:04
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +0.024%E +0.009%K +0.014%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -9.98%E -6.98%K -23.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:08
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.68%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.83%E -4.61%K -14.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 12:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.53%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.83%E -4.61%K -14.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 16:29
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.39%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.68%E -2.41%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 14:44
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.20%E -4.16%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 15:04
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.20%E -4.16%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 15:04
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.20%E -4.16%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 15:04
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -15.16%E -6.62%K -11.76%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -0.532%E -0.337%K -0.918%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 13:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%4.1%2026-04-04 20:14