The School of College Oddsodds.college
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UC San Diego Tritons v Cal Poly Mustangs

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC San Diego Tritons (Local)

Prediction 43.74%2.29fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -3.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%43.59%43.74%44.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.152.152.2047.17%46.56%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit)

Prediction 56.26%1.78fair odd
EV -4.92%
Edge -2.91%
Kelly -7.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.94%56.41%56.26%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.661.651.6961.73%60.40%60.61%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC San Diego Tritons (Local): 43.74%; Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit): 56.26%. For UC San Diego Tritons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -3.77%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.17%E -4.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 18:35
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.77%E -1.71%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.86%E -5.47%K -14.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 18:35
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.95%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.92%E -2.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 10:45
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.95%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.05%E -3.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 12:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.95%E -2.77%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.17%E -4.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 18:45
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -7.27%E -3.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -6.05%E -3.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 19:05
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -7.27%E -3.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.17%E -4.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 15:00
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -7.27%E -3.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.17%E -4.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 15:00
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -7.27%E -3.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.17%E -4.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 15:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%8.4%2026-04-19 19:50