Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Riverside Highlanders v BYU Cougars

Kickoff: 2026-02-23 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Riverside Highlanders (Local)

Prediction 21.83%4.58fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.390%
Kelly -0.501%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.91%21.88%22.16%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.274.254.5025.00%23.40%23.53%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BYU Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 78.17%1.28fair odd
EV -5.42%
Edge -4.48%
Kelly -25.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.92%78.12%77.84%79.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.201.201.2184.75%83.53%83.33%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Riverside Highlanders (Local): 21.83%; BYU Cougars (Visit): 78.17%. For UC Riverside Highlanders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.50, with an expected value of -1.75%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.75%E -0.390%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.20%E -5.17%K -31.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 22:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.75%E -0.390%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.20%E -5.17%K -31.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 22:45
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.75%E -0.390%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.20%E -5.17%K -31.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 22:45
FanDuel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -1.75%E -0.390%K -0.501%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.98%E -5.87%K -36.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 19:55
Bovada🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -3.94%E -0.895%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.98%E -5.87%K -36.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-23 06:48
theScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.94%E -0.895%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.76%E -6.58%K -43.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-23 19:05
DraftKings🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.21%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.42%E -4.48%K -25.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 21:04
BetMGM🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.21%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.42%E -4.48%K -25.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 22:30
BetUS🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.20%E -5.17%K -31.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-23 13:09
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.49%E -2.56%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.20%E -5.17%K -31.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-23 15:10
betPARX🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.49%E -2.56%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.20%E -5.17%K -31.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-23 15:14
Bally Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.49%E -2.56%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.20%E -5.17%K -31.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-23 15:14
1xBet🎯4.03I 24.81%NM 22.65%EV -12.01%E -2.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.35%EV -7.76%E -6.58%K -43.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 19:39
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.67%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.20%E -5.17%K -31.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-23 12:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.