Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Irvine Anteaters v UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Irvine Anteaters (Local)

Prediction 30.82%3.24fair odd
EV -4.45%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.49%30.86%30.79%31.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.933.033.053.1034.13%32.99%32.79%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visit)

Prediction 69.18%1.45fair odd
EV -4.53%
Edge -3.29%
Kelly -11.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.14%69.14%69.21%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.361.361.3874.63%73.61%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Irvine Anteaters (Local): 30.82%; UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visit): 69.18%. For UC Irvine Anteaters (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -4.45%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.45%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.53%E -3.29%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 17:08
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.45%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 30.77%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.23%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 20:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 30.77%EV -5.68%E -1.86%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.23%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 20:10
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.30%E -5.45%K -21.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 22:00
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.30%E -5.45%K -21.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 21:59
Bally Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -5.99%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.30%E -5.45%K -21.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 22:00
MyBookie.ag🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.05%EV -6.92%E -2.29%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.95%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 22:00
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.23%E -3.82%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 03:57
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 04:50
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.53%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 12:39
BetUS🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -8.15%E -2.73%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 00:25
1xBet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.86%EV -9.69%E -3.31%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.14%EV -5.23%E -3.82%K -14.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.99I 33.44%NM 31.26%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.74%7.0%2026-04-18 00:05