Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Irvine Anteaters v UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Irvine Anteaters (Local)

Prediction 31.23%3.20fair odd
EV +9.30%
Edge +2.66%
Kelly +3.72%
Growth +0.346%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.47%30.67%31.43%34.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.693.083.003.5037.17%32.50%33.33%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visit)

Prediction 68.77%1.45fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -3.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.29%69.33%68.57%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.361.371.4379.37%73.78%72.99%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Irvine Anteaters (Local): 31.23%; UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visit): 68.77%. For UC Irvine Anteaters (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV +9.30%E +2.66%K +3.72%G +0.346%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -13.35%E -10.59%K -51.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 19:14
betPARX🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV +9.30%E +2.66%K +3.72%G +0.346%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -13.35%E -10.59%K -51.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 19:15
Bally Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV +9.30%E +2.66%K +3.72%G +0.346%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -13.35%E -10.59%K -51.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 19:15
Caesars🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +1.49%E +0.460%K +0.664%G +0.010%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.47%E -4.76%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 18:59
MyBookie.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -3.81%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -7.85%E -5.86%K -23.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 19:55
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.10%E -3.69%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 19:20
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.78%E -4.22%K -15.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 16:09
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.31%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.47%E -4.76%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 16:10
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.44%E -3.25%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.72%E -2.66%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -9.75%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -3.72%E -2.66%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -9.75%E -3.37%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -3.72%E -2.66%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 18:25
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.56%E -4.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.72%E -2.66%K -9.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 18:25
1xBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.71%EV -15.99%E -5.95%K -9.46%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.29%EV -1.66%E -1.16%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 19:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.99I 33.44%NM 30.79%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.21%8.6%2026-04-18 19:50