Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Irvine Anteaters v UC Davis Aggies

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Irvine Anteaters (Local)

Prediction 64.90%1.54fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -5.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.90%65.06%67.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.431.441.5073.53%69.93%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC Davis Aggies (Visit)

Prediction 35.10%2.85fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.619%
Kelly -0.963%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.69%35.10%34.94%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.692.702.8040.00%37.13%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Irvine Anteaters (Local): 64.90%; UC Davis Aggies (Visit): 35.10%. For UC Davis Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -1.73%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.64%E -1.76%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.26%E -4.90%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 23:35
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.94%E -2.66%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.24%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 16:23
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -3.94%E -2.66%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -10.86%E -4.27%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 19:05
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.89%E -4.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.24%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 16:24
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.89%E -4.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.24%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 21:10
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.19%E -5.03%K -16.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.24%E -1.94%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 16:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.29%EV -7.19%E -5.03%K -16.71%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.71%EV -5.59%E -2.08%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 19:10
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -11.73%E -8.62%K -32.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -1.73%E -0.619%K -0.963%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-02 20:10
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -11.73%E -8.62%K -32.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -1.73%E -0.619%K -0.963%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-02 20:09
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -11.73%E -8.62%K -32.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -1.73%E -0.619%K -0.963%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-02 20:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 65.44%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.56%8.4%2026-04-03 00:50