Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Irvine Anteaters v Oregon St Beavers

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Irvine Anteaters (Local)

Prediction 30.16%3.32fair odd
EV -0.471%
Edge -0.143%
Kelly -0.205%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%30.14%30.80%32.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.083.003.3034.48%32.43%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon St Beavers (Visit)

Prediction 69.84%1.43fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -9.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.76%69.86%69.20%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.361.3876.92%74.33%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Irvine Anteaters (Local): 30.16%; Oregon St Beavers (Visit): 69.84%. For UC Irvine Anteaters (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -0.471%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -0.471%E -0.143%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.81%E -5.92%K -24.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 00:55
theScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -1.98%E -0.609%K -0.879%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.81%E -5.92%K -24.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 00:54
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -1.98%E -0.609%K -0.879%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -9.21%E -7.08%K -30.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 20:05
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -1.98%E -0.609%K -0.879%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -9.21%E -7.08%K -30.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 20:05
Bally Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -1.98%E -0.609%K -0.879%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -9.21%E -7.08%K -30.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 20:10
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.62%E -2.62%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 18:54
MyBookie.ag🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -7.71%E -2.52%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -6.41%E -4.79%K -18.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 20:20
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.32%E -3.15%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 00:55
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 00:53
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.52%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.02%E -3.69%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.58%EV -9.82%E -3.28%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -3.62%E -2.62%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.58%EV -9.82%E -3.28%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -3.62%E -2.62%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 17:00
1xBet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.64%EV -10.73%E -3.62%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.36%EV -4.32%E -3.15%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 20:25
Fliff🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -11.03%E -3.74%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -7.81%E -5.92%K -24.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 00:50
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.62%E -2.62%K -9.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%5.0%2026-03-21 00:54