Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Irvine Anteaters v CSU Northridge Matadors

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

81%

19%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Irvine Anteaters (Local)

Prediction 81.08%1.23fair odd

EV -5.13%

Edge -4.39%

Kelly -30.20%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

80.24%81.07%81.17%81.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.141.151.151.1787.72%86.74%86.96%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CSU Northridge Matadors (Visit)

Prediction 18.92%5.29fair odd

EV -1.63%

Edge -0.313%

Kelly -0.388%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

18.11%18.93%18.83%19.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.754.935.005.2021.05%20.29%20.00%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Irvine Anteaters (Local): 81.08%; CSU Northridge Matadors (Visit): 18.92%. For CSU Northridge Matadors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.20, with an expected value of -1.63%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.13%E -4.39%K -30.20%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -10.14%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-06 02:49
DraftKings🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.94%E -5.12%K -37.15%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.41%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-05 23:25
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.94%E -5.12%K -37.15%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.20%E -1.92%K -2.42%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-07 00:34
FanDuel🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.76%E -5.87%K -45.03%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.63%E -0.313%K -0.388%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-07 00:30
Bovada🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.76%E -5.87%K -45.03%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.41%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-06 06:33
theScore Bet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.57%E -6.64%K -54.04%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.41%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-03-06 13:50
Betway🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -7.57%E -6.64%K -54.04%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -10.14%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-03-06 16:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.