Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Irvine Anteaters v CSU Northridge Matadors

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Irvine Anteaters (Local)

Prediction 78.56%1.27fair odd
EV -5.73%
Edge -4.77%
Kelly -28.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.36%78.39%78.56%79.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.191.191.2084.75%83.95%83.68%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CSU Northridge Matadors (Visit)

Prediction 21.44%4.66fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -0.783%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.77%21.61%21.44%22.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.284.284.5024.39%23.36%23.39%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Irvine Anteaters (Local): 78.56%; CSU Northridge Matadors (Visit): 21.44%. For CSU Northridge Matadors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.50, with an expected value of -3.52%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
MyBookie.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.73%E -4.77%K -28.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.81%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 17:19
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.73%E -4.77%K -28.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 17:15
Bally Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.73%E -4.77%K -28.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 17:15
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.73%E -4.77%K -28.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -12.10%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 17:09
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.51%E -5.47%K -34.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -3.52%E -0.783%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 03:44
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.30%E -6.18%K -40.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.52%E -0.783%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 17:58
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.30%E -6.18%K -40.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 13:49
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.30%E -6.18%K -40.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 14:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.