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UC Davis Aggies v UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UC Davis Aggies (Local)
assuming max odds 4.75
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.24
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Davis Aggies (Local): 22.42%; UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visit): 77.58%. For UC Davis Aggies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.46. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.50%.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +6.50%E +1.37%K +1.73%G +0.113% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -10.01%E -8.63%K -62.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +6.50%E +1.37%K +1.73%G +0.113% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -10.01%E -8.63%K -62.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +6.50%E +1.37%K +1.73%G +0.113% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -10.01%E -8.63%K -62.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +0.891%E +0.198%K +0.255%G +0.002% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -7.68%E -6.45%K -40.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 00:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -4.71%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -8.46%E -7.17%K -46.98%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 00:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.84%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.90%E -5.75%K -34.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 00:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -8.08%E -1.97%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.13%E -5.06%K -29.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 00:48 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.56%EV -9.20%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.44%EV -8.46%E -7.17%K -46.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.80%E -3.07%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 04:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.35%E -4.39%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 05:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.32%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.35%E -4.39%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 06:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.75%EV -10.77%E -2.71%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.25%EV -3.80%E -3.07%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.75%EV -10.77%E -2.71%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.25%EV -3.80%E -3.07%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -13.68%E -3.55%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -3.80%E -3.07%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 20:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.49% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.51% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 00:44 |