The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UC Davis Aggies v UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Davis Aggies (Local)

Prediction 16.58%6.03fair odd
EV +2.80%
Edge +0.452%
Kelly +0.539%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 6.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.18%16.60%16.49%18.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.205.555.516.2019.23%18.01%18.15%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visit)

Prediction 83.42%1.20fair odd
EV -4.07%
Edge -3.54%
Kelly -27.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.89%83.40%83.51%84.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.121.111.1590.09%89.15%90.09%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Davis Aggies (Local): 16.58%; UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visit): 83.42%. For UC Davis Aggies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.80%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +2.80%E +0.452%K +0.539%G +0.015%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -7.40%E -6.67%K -67.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 23:55
theScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -4.66%E -0.811%K -0.981%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.40%E -6.67%K -67.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 22:24
BetRivers🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -4.66%E -0.811%K -0.981%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.40%E -6.67%K -67.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 22:25
Bally Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -4.66%E -0.811%K -0.981%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.40%E -6.67%K -67.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 22:25
betPARX🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -4.66%E -0.811%K -0.981%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.40%E -6.67%K -67.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 22:25
1xBet🎯5.52I 18.12%NM 16.87%EV -8.47%E -1.54%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.13%EV -6.57%E -5.87%K -54.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 23:50
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -35.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 00:20
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -8.81%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.40%E -6.67%K -67.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 23:55
Bovada🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -12.95%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -35.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 03:35
Fliff🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -12.95%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -7.40%E -6.67%K -67.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 22:25
DraftKings🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -13.78%E -2.65%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.07%E -3.54%K -27.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 22:00
MyBookie.ag🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -13.78%E -2.65%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -35.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 00:53
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%4.9%2026-03-14 00:49