The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UC Davis Aggies v CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners

Kickoff: 2026-04-09 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UC Davis Aggies (Local)

Prediction 61.33%1.63fair odd
EV -6.17%
Edge -4.03%
Kelly -11.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.87%61.33%61.56%61.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.531.531.5365.36%65.36%65.36%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (Visit)

Prediction 38.67%2.59fair odd
EV -5.25%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -3.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%38.67%38.44%39.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.412.382.4542.02%41.53%42.02%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UC Davis Aggies (Local): 61.33%; CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (Visit): 38.67%. For CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -5.25%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.17%E -4.03%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 20:35
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.17%E -4.03%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.25%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 12:30
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.17%E -4.03%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.96%E -3.35%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 12:10
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.17%E -4.03%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.96%E -3.35%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 12:15
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.17%E -4.03%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.96%E -3.35%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 12:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.