The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UAB Blazers v Troy Trojans

Kickoff: 2026-05-12 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UAB Blazers (Local)

Prediction 39.55%2.53fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.35%39.60%39.85%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.342.352.4647.62%42.69%42.55%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Troy Trojans (Visit)

Prediction 60.45%1.65fair odd
EV +5.79%
Edge +3.31%
Kelly +7.72%
Growth +0.447%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.55%60.40%60.15%61.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.591.591.7565.36%63.04%62.89%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UAB Blazers (Local): 39.55%; Troy Trojans (Visit): 60.45%. For Troy Trojans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.65. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -16.95%E -8.07%K -15.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +5.79%E +3.31%K +7.72%G +0.447%4.8%2026-05-12 17:30
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -11.01%E -4.90%K -8.81%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -2.67%E -1.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 16:34
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 16:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.01%E -4.90%K -8.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 18:50
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.88%E -2.44%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 16:39
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.06%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.88%E -2.44%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.04%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.88%E -2.44%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 17:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -2.71%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -2.71%E -1.10%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 18:55
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.10%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 18:34
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.10%E -1.27%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.26I 44.25%NM 40.84%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.16%8.4%2026-05-12 18:50