Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UAB Blazers v Jacksonville Dolphins

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

47%

53%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UAB Blazers (Local)

Prediction 46.57%2.15fair odd

EV -4.53%

Edge -2.21%

Kelly -4.32%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.91%46.51%46.38%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.962.002.002.0551.02%49.88%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jacksonville Dolphins (Visit)

Prediction 53.43%1.87fair odd

EV -5.43%

Edge -3.07%

Kelly -7.05%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

53.05%53.49%53.62%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.681.741.731.7759.52%57.55%57.80%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UAB Blazers (Local): 46.57%; Jacksonville Dolphins (Visit): 53.43%. For UAB Blazers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -4.53%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.03%E -4.04%K -9.50%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-01 03:20
Bovada🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.53%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.03%E -4.04%K -9.50%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-01 14:49
DraftKings🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.43%E -3.07%K -7.05%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-01 02:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.43%E -3.07%K -7.05%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-01 13:04
theScore Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.43%E -3.07%K -7.05%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-01 09:29
888sport🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.57%E -4.37%K -10.37%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-01 03:20
888sport (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.57%E -4.37%K -10.37%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-01 03:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.57%E -4.37%K -10.37%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-01 03:25
BetRivers🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.57%E -4.37%K -10.37%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-01 16:44
Bally Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.57%E -4.37%K -10.37%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-01 16:44
betPARX🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.86%E -3.43%K -6.86%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.57%E -4.37%K -10.37%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-01 16:44
1xBet🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -8.72%E -4.45%K -9.09%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -10.24%E -6.09%K -15.06%G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-03-01 17:24

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.