Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UAB Blazers v Charlotte 49ers

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

52%

48%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UAB Blazers (Local)

Prediction 52.33%1.91fair odd

EV -3.20%

Edge -1.73%

Kelly -3.76%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

50.53%52.41%52.53%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.741.801.811.8557.47%55.70%55.25%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte 49ers (Visit)

Prediction 47.67%2.10fair odd

EV -2.27%

Edge -1.11%

Kelly -2.16%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.91%47.59%47.47%49.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.891.961.932.0552.91%51.04%51.81%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UAB Blazers (Local): 52.33%; Charlotte 49ers (Visit): 47.67%. For Charlotte 49ers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -2.27%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -3.20%E -1.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -9.90%E -5.24%K -11.12%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-08 18:04
DraftKings🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.24%E -2.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.94%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-07 23:35
Bovada🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.24%E -2.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.94%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-08 03:23
BetRivers🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -4.77%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -8.94%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-05-08 13:59
Bally Bet🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -4.77%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -8.94%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-05-08 14:00
betPARX🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -4.77%E -2.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -8.94%E -4.68%K -9.83%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-05-08 14:00
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.29%E -2.92%K -6.53%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.99%E -4.14%K -8.59%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-08 17:17
theScore Bet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.81%E -3.23%K -7.26%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.04%E -3.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-08 21:54
BetMGM🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.65%E -2.33%K -4.65%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-08 18:04
Caesars🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.38%E -4.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.65%E -2.33%K -4.65%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-08 16:49
LowVig.ag🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.95%E -5.14%K -12.10%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.16%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-08 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.95%E -5.14%K -12.10%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.16%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-08 16:45
BetUS🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.95%E -5.14%K -12.10%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.16%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-08 16:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%	3.2%	2026-05-08 21:39