Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UAB Blazers v Charlotte 49ers

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UAB Blazers (Local)

Prediction 48.40%2.07fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -3.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%48.42%48.33%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.931.912.0053.48%51.94%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte 49ers (Visit)

Prediction 51.60%1.94fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -4.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.58%51.67%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.821.811.8756.50%55.06%55.25%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UAB Blazers (Local): 48.40%; Charlotte 49ers (Visit): 51.60%. For UAB Blazers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -3.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.21%E -1.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.66%E -4.89%K -11.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 05:44
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -4.66%E -2.36%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -8.15%E -4.58%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 15:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -5.14%E -2.62%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -7.63%E -4.26%K -9.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 15:34
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.63%E -2.89%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 15:14
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.63%E -2.89%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 15:29
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.63%E -2.89%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 15:18
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 16:34
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -6.60%E -3.65%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 16:44
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -6.60%E -3.65%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 16:44
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -6.60%E -3.65%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 16:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.50%E -5.08%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 15:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.50%E -5.08%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 15:23
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.50%E -5.08%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 15:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%8.6%2026-05-10 17:49