Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UAB Blazers v Charlotte 49ers

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

51%

49%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UAB Blazers (Local)

Prediction 51.16%1.95fair odd

EV -2.28%

Edge -1.19%

Kelly -2.50%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

48.93%51.02%51.33%52.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.771.831.831.9156.50%54.53%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte 49ers (Visit)

Prediction 48.84%2.05fair odd

EV -4.28%

Edge -2.18%

Kelly -4.46%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

47.45%48.98%48.67%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.831.911.911.9654.64%52.42%52.36%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UAB Blazers (Local): 51.16%; Charlotte 49ers (Visit): 48.84%. For UAB Blazers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.91, with an expected value of -2.28%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
LowVig.ag🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.28%E -1.19%K -2.50%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.63%E -5.81%K -12.81%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-09 17:09
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.28%E -1.19%K -2.50%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.63%E -5.81%K -12.81%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-09 17:09
BetUS🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.28%E -1.19%K -2.50%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.63%E -5.81%K -12.81%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-09 17:09
Caesars🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.68%E -4.64%K -9.97%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-09 17:09
BetMGM🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.37%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.77%E -2.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-09 03:59
DraftKings🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.37%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.72%E -3.52%K -7.39%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-09 03:54
1xBet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.37%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.72%E -3.52%K -7.39%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-09 16:24
Bovada🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.37%E -3.48%K -7.67%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.72%E -3.52%K -7.39%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-09 05:35
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.39%E -4.08%K -9.13%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.75%E -2.98%K -6.18%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-09 15:04
theScore Bet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.90%E -4.39%K -9.88%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.77%E -2.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-09 15:04
BetRivers🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -9.44%E -5.33%K -12.26%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -4.28%E -2.18%K -4.46%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-09 15:24
Bally Bet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -9.44%E -5.33%K -12.26%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -4.28%E -2.18%K -4.46%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-09 15:24
betPARX🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -9.44%E -5.33%K -12.26%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -4.28%E -2.18%K -4.46%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-09 15:24

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%	8.4%	2026-05-09 18:49