Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UAB Blazers v Auburn Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

27%

73%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UAB Blazers (Local)

Prediction 27.00%3.70fair odd

EV +2.60%

Edge +0.685%

Kelly +0.930%

Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

24.70%26.87%26.93%28.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.293.493.483.8030.40%28.65%28.74%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Auburn Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 73.00%1.37fair odd

EV -4.37%

Edge -3.34%

Kelly -14.10%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

71.52%73.13%73.07%75.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.241.291.291.3180.65%77.75%77.52%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UAB Blazers (Local): 27.00%; Auburn Tigers (Visit): 73.00%. For UAB Blazers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.70. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +2.60%E +0.685%K +0.930%G +0.024%	1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -8.02%E -6.37%K -30.85%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-05 19:30
1xBet🎯	3.78I 26.46%NM 24.70%EV +2.06%E +0.546%K +0.742%G +0.015%	1.24I 80.65%NM 75.30%EV -9.48%E -7.65%K -39.51%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-05 18:40
BetMGM🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.80%E -0.777%K -1.08%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-05 12:13
Caesars🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.37%E -3.34%K -14.10%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-05 16:44
DraftKings🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-04 23:20
888sport🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-04 23:39
888sport (SE)🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-04 23:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-04 23:39
Bovada🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.50%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.56%E -5.13%K -23.43%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-05 15:54
MyBookie.ag🎯	3.46I 28.90%NM 27.00%EV -6.58%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.00%EV -6.56%E -5.13%K -23.43%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-05 17:13
BetRivers🎯	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.85%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -7.29%E -5.74%K -27.00%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-05-05 18:15
Bally Bet🎯	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.85%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -7.29%E -5.74%K -27.00%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-05-05 18:15
betPARX🎯	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.85%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -7.29%E -5.74%K -27.00%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-05-05 18:15
theScore Bet🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.10%E -3.92%K -17.00%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-05 14:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.20%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.83%E -4.52%K -20.11%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-05 17:04
LowVig.ag🎯	3.37I 29.67%NM 27.99%EV -9.01%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.01%EV -4.37%E -3.34%K -14.10%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-05 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯	3.37I 29.67%NM 27.99%EV -9.01%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.01%EV -4.37%E -3.34%K -14.10%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-05 15:15
BetUS🎯	3.29I 30.40%NM 28.48%EV -11.17%E -3.39%K -4.88%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.52%EV -4.37%E -3.34%K -14.10%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-05 15:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	3.76I 26.60%NM 25.84%	1.31I 76.34%NM 74.16%	2.9%	2026-05-05 22:50