Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tulane Green Wave v South Florida Bulls

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 23:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tulane Green Wave (Local)

Prediction 46.95%2.13fair odd
EV -6.10%
Edge -3.05%
Kelly -6.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.52%47.07%46.95%48.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.921.992.002.0052.08%50.27%50.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Florida Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 53.05%1.88fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -4.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.34%52.93%53.05%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.771.771.8257.47%56.55%56.50%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tulane Green Wave (Local): 46.95%; South Florida Bulls (Visit): 53.05%. For South Florida Bulls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.82, with an expected value of -3.45%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 23:50
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 03:23
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 10:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 12:54
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 13:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.63%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 17:39
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.69%E -4.42%K -10.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 21:19
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.69%E -4.42%K -10.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 21:14
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.69%E -4.42%K -10.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 21:14
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.45%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 23:29
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -9.86%E -5.13%K -10.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -3.45%E -1.89%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 17:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%3.3%2026-05-08 22:29