Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tulane Green Wave v South Florida Bulls

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

40%

60%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tulane Green Wave (Local)

Prediction 40.43%2.47fair odd

EV -2.98%

Edge -1.24%

Kelly -2.13%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.09%40.55%40.05%45.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.072.282.332.4048.31%43.79%43.01%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Florida Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 59.57%1.68fair odd

EV +1.87%

Edge +1.10%

Kelly +2.64%

Growth +0.049%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.76%59.45%59.95%60.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.541.601.581.7164.94%62.70%63.29%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tulane Green Wave (Local): 40.43%; South Florida Bulls (Visit): 59.57%. For South Florida Bulls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -16.32%E -7.88%K -15.25%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV +1.87%E +1.10%K +2.64%G +0.049%	6.8%	2026-05-09 15:49
BetRivers🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -11.87%E -5.45%K -10.06%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -3.49%E -2.15%K -5.63%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-09 18:34
betPARX🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -11.87%E -5.45%K -10.06%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -3.49%E -2.15%K -5.63%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-09 18:34
Bally Bet🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -11.87%E -5.45%K -10.06%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -3.49%E -2.15%K -5.63%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-09 18:34
theScore Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.02%E -3.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.08%E -2.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-09 18:44
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 41.82%EV -9.45%E -4.22%K -7.62%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -4.08%E -2.54%K -6.70%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-09 20:54
Caesars🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.98%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.28%E -3.32%K -8.94%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-09 19:29
LowVig.ag🎯	2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -4.60%E -1.95%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.35%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-09 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -4.60%E -1.95%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.35%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-09 14:40
DraftKings🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.00%E -2.13%K -3.70%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.35%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-09 14:09
BetUS🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.00%E -2.13%K -3.70%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.35%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-09 14:59
Betway🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.04%E -4.02%K -7.23%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.47%E -4.12%K -11.35%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-09 19:34
Bovada🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.00%E -2.13%K -3.70%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.06%E -4.53%K -12.61%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-09 15:45
BetMGM🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.98%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.25%E -5.36%K -15.29%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-05-09 15:44

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%	8.5%	2026-05-09 23:19