Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tulane Green Wave v South Florida Bulls

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tulane Green Wave (Local)

Prediction 42.96%2.33fair odd
EV -4.63%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -3.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%42.96%42.91%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.192.202.2246.51%45.57%45.45%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Florida Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 57.04%1.75fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -2.84%
Kelly -7.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%57.04%57.09%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.651.651.6761.73%60.74%60.61%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tulane Green Wave (Local): 42.96%; South Florida Bulls (Visit): 57.04%. For Tulane Green Wave (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.22, with an expected value of -4.63%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -4.63%E -2.09%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -5.88%E -3.57%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 15:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -5.06%E -2.29%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.88%E -3.57%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -5.06%E -2.29%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.88%E -3.57%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 15:09
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 06:19
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.74%E -2.84%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 07:28
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.88%E -3.57%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 04:09
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.88%E -3.57%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 05:44
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.49%E -2.50%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.59%E -4.69%K -12.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 10:28
MyBookie.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.35%E -2.91%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.45%E -3.94%K -10.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 12:03
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.78%E -3.12%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.45%E -3.94%K -10.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 08:20
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.64%E -3.55%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.59%E -4.69%K -12.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 12:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%8.4%2026-05-10 17:49