Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tulane Green Wave v Mississippi St Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tulane Green Wave (Local)

Prediction 23.12%4.33fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.414%
Kelly -0.542%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.16%23.19%23.08%24.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.014.004.2526.67%24.96%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 76.88%1.30fair odd
EV -4.66%
Edge -3.76%
Kelly -19.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.30%76.81%76.92%77.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.221.221.2482.64%81.97%81.97%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tulane Green Wave (Local): 23.12%; Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit): 76.88%. For Tulane Green Wave (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.25, with an expected value of -1.76%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -1.76%E -0.414%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.97%E -5.76%K -33.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 16:09
DraftKings🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.23%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.23%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.23%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 18:45
Bovada🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.38%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 22:14
MyBookie.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 17:49
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 16:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 20:05
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.97%E -5.76%K -33.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 21:40
BetUS🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.69%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:14
1xBet🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 24.70%EV -12.62%E -3.34%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.30%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 18:25
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.32%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig4.15I 24.10%NM 19.42%1.00I 100.00%NM 80.58%24.1%2026-03-10 22:55