Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tulane Green Wave v Creighton Bluejays

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tulane Green Wave (Local)

Prediction 60.74%1.65fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -3.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.96%60.67%60.74%61.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.541.6166.67%64.62%65.15%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Creighton Bluejays (Visit)

Prediction 39.26%2.55fair odd
EV -3.81%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%39.33%39.26%42.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.222.362.352.4545.05%42.37%42.46%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tulane Green Wave (Local): 60.74%; Creighton Bluejays (Visit): 39.26%. For Tulane Green Wave (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.61, with an expected value of -2.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -2.21%E -1.37%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -12.84%E -5.79%K -10.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 14:30
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.42%E -2.15%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.74%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 14:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -5.85%E -3.78%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -7.35%E -3.11%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 15:09
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.46%E -4.19%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 15:05
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 14:25
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 14:25
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.74%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 15:09
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.89%E -5.93%K -17.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.70%E -4.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 61.79%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.21%8.6%2026-03-15 16:50