Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Troy Trojans v West Virginia Mountaineers

Kickoff: 2026-06-16 18:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

36%

64%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Troy Trojans (Local)

Prediction 36.27%2.76fair odd

EV -2.06%

Edge -0.765%

Kelly -1.21%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.47%36.69%36.14%41.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.242.562.602.7044.64%39.02%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit)

Prediction 63.73%1.57fair odd

EV +3.24%

Edge +2.00%

Kelly +5.22%

Growth +0.169%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.03%63.31%63.86%65.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.421.491.481.6270.42%67.11%67.57%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Troy Trojans (Local): 36.27%; West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit): 63.73%. For West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.57. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -18.75%E -8.37%K -15.12%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV +3.24%E +2.00%K +5.22%G +0.169%	6.4%	2026-06-16 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -18.75%E -8.37%K -15.12%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV +3.24%E +2.00%K +5.22%G +0.169%	6.4%	2026-06-16 18:00
1xBet🎯	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -7.87%E -3.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -2.50%E -1.63%K -4.71%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-06-16 17:49
BetUS🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -11.13%E -4.54%K -7.68%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.50%E -1.63%K -4.71%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-16 18:00
Pinnacle🎯	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -7.87%E -3.10%K -5.11%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -3.13%E -2.06%K -6.03%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-16 17:59
Caesars🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.88%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.41%E -2.94%K -8.82%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-06-16 17:59
theScore Bet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.69%E -2.19%K -3.56%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.41%E -2.94%K -8.82%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-16 18:00
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -6.78%E -2.64%K -4.32%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -5.05%E -3.39%K -10.30%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-16 18:00
Betway🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.68%E -3.84%K -11.84%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-16 18:00
DraftKings🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.88%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.32%E -4.30%K -13.45%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-16 18:00
FanDuel🎯	2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.59%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -6.32%E -4.30%K -13.45%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-16 18:00
BetMGM🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.06%E -0.765%K -1.21%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.59%E -5.24%K -16.88%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-16 17:59
Bovada🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.51%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.59%E -5.24%K -16.88%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-06-16 18:00
Fliff🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.69%E -2.19%K -3.56%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.23%E -5.72%K -18.71%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-06-16 18:00
BetRivers🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -2.06%E -0.765%K -1.21%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.51%E -6.69%K -22.64%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-06-16 18:00
betPARX🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -2.06%E -0.765%K -1.21%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.51%E -6.69%K -22.64%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-06-16 18:00
Bally Bet🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -2.06%E -0.765%K -1.21%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.51%E -6.69%K -22.64%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-06-16 18:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	2.53I 39.53%NM 39.04%	1.62I 61.73%NM 60.96%	1.3%	2026-06-16 17:59
Kalshi◎	1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%	2.0%	2026-06-16 18:00