The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Troy Trojans v South Alabama Jaguars

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Troy Trojans (Local)

Prediction 48.65%2.06fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%48.89%48.12%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.901.932.0055.56%52.55%51.81%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Alabama Jaguars (Visit)

Prediction 51.35%1.95fair odd
EV +0.124%
Edge +0.063%
Kelly +0.130%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%51.11%51.88%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.831.801.9557.47%54.50%55.56%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Troy Trojans (Local): 48.65%; South Alabama Jaguars (Visit): 51.35%. For South Alabama Jaguars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.948. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.950, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.124%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -12.42%E -6.90%K -15.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +0.124%E +0.063%K +0.130%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 17:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -12.42%E -6.90%K -15.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +0.124%E +0.063%K +0.130%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 17:54
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -12.42%E -6.90%K -15.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +0.124%E +0.063%K +0.130%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 17:54
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.93%E -1.01%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 17:54
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.04%E -3.30%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 15:24
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.04%E -3.30%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 15:23
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.12%E -2.63%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.58%E -4.21%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 14:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -5.61%E -2.89%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -7.58%E -4.21%K -9.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 17:54
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -4.64%E -2.37%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -8.09%E -4.52%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 17:54
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -6.10%E -3.16%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -8.09%E -4.52%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 16:44
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -6.10%E -3.16%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -8.09%E -4.52%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 16:44
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -6.10%E -3.16%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -8.09%E -4.52%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 16:44
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.69%E -1.35%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.12%E -5.15%K -11.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 05:44
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -5.12%E -2.63%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -10.66%E -6.13%K -14.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 12:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.87I 53.48%NM 49.18%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%8.7%2026-05-10 17:19