The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Troy Trojans v South Alabama Jaguars

Kickoff: 2026-05-21 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Troy Trojans (Local)

Prediction 54.41%1.84fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -4.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.82%54.70%54.09%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.721.741.7761.73%58.28%57.47%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Alabama Jaguars (Visit)

Prediction 45.59%2.19fair odd
EV +2.59%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +2.07%
Growth +0.053%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%45.30%45.91%47.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.072.052.2550.76%48.22%48.78%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Troy Trojans (Local): 54.41%; South Alabama Jaguars (Visit): 45.59%. For South Alabama Jaguars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.59%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -11.86%E -7.32%K -19.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +2.59%E +1.15%K +2.07%G +0.053%6.2%2026-05-21 13:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -11.86%E -7.32%K -19.13%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV +2.13%E +0.951%K +1.72%G +0.037%6.4%2026-05-21 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -11.86%E -7.32%K -19.13%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV +2.13%E +0.951%K +1.72%G +0.037%6.4%2026-05-21 13:40
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.05%E -4.77%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.97%E -0.918%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-21 13:39
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.24%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.71%E -2.25%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 13:40
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.33%E -3.06%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.33%E -3.06%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:30
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.33%E -3.06%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 13:30
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.05%E -4.77%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.53%E -3.19%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 13:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -7.51%E -4.42%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -7.45%E -3.67%K -7.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-21 13:40
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.81%E -4.41%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 03:30
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.70%E -2.09%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.81%E -4.41%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 12:48
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -4.24%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -10.18%E -5.17%K -10.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 13:20
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -4.24%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -10.18%E -5.17%K -10.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 13:20
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -4.24%E -2.41%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -10.18%E -5.17%K -10.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-21 13:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%6.5%2026-05-21 13:20