The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Troy Trojans v Rider Broncs

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Troy Trojans (Local)

Prediction 65.69%1.52fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -4.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.88%65.68%65.79%66.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.431.4971.43%69.63%69.93%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rider Broncs (Visit)

Prediction 34.31%2.91fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.778%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.41%34.32%34.21%36.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.712.712.8538.46%36.92%36.97%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Troy Trojans (Local): 65.69%; Rider Broncs (Visit): 34.31%. For Troy Trojans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.49, with an expected value of -2.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -2.12%E -1.42%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -8.74%E -3.28%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 18:50
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.43%E -2.34%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -10.80%E -4.15%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 18:58
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.99%EV -4.09%E -2.80%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.01%EV -7.02%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 18:59
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.75%E -3.27%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.36%E -2.73%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 19:01
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -4.75%E -3.27%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -8.39%E -3.14%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 18:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -4.75%E -3.27%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -8.39%E -3.14%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 19:00
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.75%E -3.27%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.80%E -4.15%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 18:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -5.41%E -3.75%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.45%EV -5.99%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 19:00
Caesars🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.06%E -4.24%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.22%E -0.778%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 18:58
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.06%E -4.24%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.65%E -2.05%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 18:59
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.06%E -4.24%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -9.08%E -3.43%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 19:00
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.06%E -4.24%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -9.08%E -3.43%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 19:00
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.06%E -4.24%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -9.08%E -3.43%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 19:00
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.72%E -4.73%K -16.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.93%E -1.40%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.72%E -4.73%K -16.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.93%E -1.40%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 18:59
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.03%E -5.74%K -20.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.65%E -2.05%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 18:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.03%E -5.74%K -20.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.65%E -2.05%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.03%E -5.74%K -20.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.65%E -2.05%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 18:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.37I 72.99%NM 65.92%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.08%10.7%2026-05-30 19:00