The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Troy Trojans v Jacksonville St Gamecocks

Kickoff: 2026-04-21 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Troy Trojans (Local)

Prediction 40.94%2.44fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.724%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%40.77%41.03%42.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.212.292.292.4045.25%43.63%43.67%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jacksonville St Gamecocks (Visit)

Prediction 59.06%1.69fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -2.67%
Kelly -6.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.70%59.23%58.97%60.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.591.591.6264.10%62.93%62.89%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Troy Trojans (Local): 40.94%; Jacksonville St Gamecocks (Visit): 59.06%. For Troy Trojans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -1.74%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.74%E -0.724%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.10%E -3.84%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 17:49
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.92%E -3.05%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 01:00
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.92%E -3.05%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 01:45
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.51%E -3.44%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 23:15
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.10%E -3.84%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 00:23
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.65%E -2.92%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.87%E -5.04%K -14.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 16:30
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.65%E -2.92%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.87%E -5.04%K -14.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 16:30
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.65%E -2.92%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.87%E -5.04%K -14.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 16:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -7.06%E -3.11%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -6.10%E -3.84%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 17:09
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -9.52%E -4.31%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 16:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.70%7.1%2026-04-21 22:50