Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.49
assuming max odds 2.95
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Troy Trojans (Local): 66.80%; Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (Visit): 33.20%. For Troy Trojans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.49, with an expected value of -0.469%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -0.469%E -0.315%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -11.69%E -4.39%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-05 18:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -1.81%E -1.23%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -11.02%E -4.11%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-05 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.14%E -2.17%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.36%E -3.84%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-05 18:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -7.70%E -2.77%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-05 18:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.48%E -3.13%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-05 18:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.06%E -0.697%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-03 06:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.15%E -3.62%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-05 17:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.81%E -4.12%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.04%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-05 17:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-03 01:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.72%E -1.28%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-05 18:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-05 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-05 14:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.48%E -4.63%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.70%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-05 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -7.15%E -5.14%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -3.05%E -1.05%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-05 17:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -7.15%E -5.14%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -3.05%E -1.05%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-05 17:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -7.15%E -5.14%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV -6.04%E -2.13%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-05 17:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -8.49%E -6.19%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -10.36%E -3.84%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-05 19:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -2.06%E -0.697%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-05 17:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -2.06%E -0.697%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-05 17:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -9.15%E -6.73%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -2.06%E -0.697%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-05 17:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 20:50 |