The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Troy Trojans v Alabama Crimson Tide

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Troy Trojans (Local)

Prediction 35.97%2.78fair odd
EV -0.736%
Edge -0.267%
Kelly -0.418%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.13%36.05%35.64%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.602.622.7640.32%38.44%38.17%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit)

Prediction 64.03%1.56fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -3.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%63.95%64.36%65.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.461.451.5370.42%68.30%68.97%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Troy Trojans (Local): 35.97%; Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit): 64.03%. For Troy Trojans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.76, with an expected value of -0.736%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -0.736%E -0.267%K -0.418%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -8.43%E -5.90%K -19.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 14:59
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-05 12:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.69%E -1.77%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 17:04
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.69%E -1.77%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.07%E -6.39%K -21.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-05 18:15
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.69%E -1.77%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.07%E -6.39%K -21.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-05 18:15
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.69%E -1.77%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.07%E -6.39%K -21.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-05 18:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.45%EV -5.05%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.55%EV -7.15%E -4.93%K -15.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 17:13
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.77%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.77%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.77%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 18:49
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.23%E -3.53%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 23:20
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.87%E -3.99%K -12.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 00:39
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.49%E -2.50%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.79%E -5.41%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 18:14
Caesars🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.29%E -3.25%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.03%E -1.32%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 15:13
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -8.65%E -3.40%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -5.23%E -3.53%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 18:50
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -10.09%E -4.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.03%E -1.32%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -10.09%E -4.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 15:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -10.09%E -4.03%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 15:53
BetUS🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -10.81%E -4.36%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -3.31%E -2.19%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.3%2026-05-05 22:50