Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Towson Tigers v George Mason Patriots

Kickoff: 2026-04-08 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

39%

61%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Towson Tigers (Local)

Prediction 38.99%2.56fair odd

EV +3.32%

Edge +1.25%

Kelly +2.01%

Growth +0.067%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

35.37%38.97%39.13%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.242.402.382.6544.64%41.58%42.02%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

George Mason Patriots (Visit)

Prediction 61.01%1.64fair odd

EV -2.38%

Edge -1.49%

Kelly -3.97%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.33%61.03%60.87%64.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.451.531.531.6068.97%65.23%65.36%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Towson Tigers (Local): 38.99%; George Mason Patriots (Visit): 61.01%. For Towson Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.32%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Bovada🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV +3.32%E +1.25%K +2.01%G +0.067%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -11.53%E -7.95%K -25.63%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-08 18:29
DraftKings🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.48%E -1.83%K -3.09%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.65%E -4.35%K -12.55%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-08 15:10
BetMGM🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.48%E -1.83%K -3.09%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.65%E -4.35%K -12.55%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-08 16:04
theScore Bet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.43%E -2.68%K -4.59%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.82%E -3.09%K -8.61%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-08 16:10
BetRivers🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.21%E -3.03%K -5.22%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.65%E -4.35%K -12.55%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-04-08 16:49
Bally Bet🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.21%E -3.03%K -5.22%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.65%E -4.35%K -12.55%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-04-08 16:50
betPARX🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.21%E -3.03%K -5.22%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.65%E -4.35%K -12.55%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-04-08 16:50
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -7.60%E -3.21%K -5.54%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV -6.04%E -3.92%K -11.19%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-08 16:14
Betway🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.38%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.65%E -4.35%K -12.55%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-04-08 16:10
1xBet🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -12.66%E -5.65%K -10.21%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -2.38%E -1.49%K -3.97%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-08 16:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.