The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Toledo Rockets v Butler Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-05-06 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toledo Rockets (Local)

Prediction 74.49%1.34fair odd
EV -3.91%
Edge -3.03%
Kelly -13.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.07%74.44%74.75%75.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.261.251.2981.30%79.59%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Butler Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 25.51%3.92fair odd
EV -0.503%
Edge -0.129%
Kelly -0.174%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.07%25.56%25.25%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.683.703.9028.57%27.14%27.03%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toledo Rockets (Local): 74.49%; Butler Bulldogs (Visit): 25.51%. For Butler Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.90, with an expected value of -0.503%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.91%E -3.03%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 15:50
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.91%E -3.03%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 15:24
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.66%E -3.64%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 15:29
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.15%E -4.88%K -23.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.503%E -0.129%K -0.174%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 18:54
FanDuel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.89%E -5.51%K -27.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -1.78%E -0.462%K -0.624%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 16:59
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.89%E -5.51%K -27.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 16:59
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.89%E -5.51%K -27.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.71%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 15:30
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.63%E -6.16%K -31.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 16:55
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.63%E -6.16%K -31.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 16:55
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.63%E -6.16%K -31.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 17:00
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.93%EV -8.38%E -6.81%K -36.43%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -1.01%E -0.261%K -0.352%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.28I 78.13%NM 74.65%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.35%4.7%2026-05-06 18:25