The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Toledo Rockets v Ball State Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toledo Rockets (Local)

Prediction 65.79%1.52fair odd
EV -4.61%
Edge -3.18%
Kelly -10.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.06%66.14%65.79%67.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.411.421.4573.53%71.09%70.42%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ball State Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 34.21%2.92fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.512%
Kelly -0.784%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.08%33.86%34.21%34.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.682.792.752.8837.31%35.81%36.36%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toledo Rockets (Local): 65.79%; Ball State Cardinals (Visit): 34.21%. For Ball State Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.88, with an expected value of -1.47%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.61%E -3.18%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.63%E -2.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 16:00
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.92%E -4.14%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -2.16%E -0.755%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 16:20
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.92%E -4.14%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 14:29
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.92%E -4.14%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 14:39
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.92%E -2.15%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 15:08
MyBookie.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.37%EV -6.58%E -4.63%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.63%EV -8.32%E -3.10%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-20 14:48
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -1.47%E -0.512%K -0.784%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-20 16:20
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -1.47%E -0.512%K -0.784%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-20 16:20
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -10.53%E -7.74%K -29.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -1.47%E -0.512%K -0.784%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-20 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.45I 68.97%NM 67.99%3.08I 32.47%NM 32.01%1.4%2026-05-20 15:40