Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

The Citadel Bulldogs v Clemson Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

The Citadel Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 27.81%3.60fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.356%
Kelly -0.496%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.65%27.69%27.74%30.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.083.373.403.5532.47%29.65%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Clemson Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 72.19%1.39fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -9.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.68%72.31%72.26%73.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.301.301.3477.52%76.89%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: The Citadel Bulldogs (Local): 27.81%; Clemson Tigers (Visit): 72.19%. For The Citadel Bulldogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.60. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.55, with an expected value of -1.26%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -1.26%E -0.356%K -0.496%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.88%E -5.33%K -23.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-18 20:15
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.66%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.88%E -5.33%K -23.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 20:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.66%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.88%E -5.33%K -23.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 20:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.66%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.88%E -5.33%K -23.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 20:45
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.99%E -3.00%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 15:53
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.43%E -4.15%K -17.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-18 20:10
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.16%E -4.74%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 17:25
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.16%E -4.74%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 17:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.88%E -5.33%K -23.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 20:15
Bovada🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.16%E -4.74%K -20.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 17:57
MyBookie.ag🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 27.86%EV -7.11%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -6.88%E -5.33%K -23.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-18 20:20
BetRivers🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.16%E -4.74%K -20.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 17:40
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.16%E -4.74%K -20.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 17:40
Bally Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.16%E -4.74%K -20.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 17:40
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.88%E -5.33%K -23.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-18 20:14
1xBet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -14.34%E -4.65%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -3.27%E -2.44%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 17:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.57I 28.01%NM 26.54%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.46%5.5%2026-03-18 21:43