Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders v West Virginia Mountaineers

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local)

Prediction 30.24%3.31fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.52%30.24%30.49%34.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.742.993.003.2036.50%33.39%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit)

Prediction 69.76%1.43fair odd
EV -0.943%
Edge -0.664%
Kelly -2.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.87%69.76%69.51%70.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.361.361.4275.19%73.35%73.53%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local): 30.24%; West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit): 69.76%. For West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.42, with an expected value of -0.943%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -3.23%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.52%E -4.87%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 18:20
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.25%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 18:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 18:10
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 18:20
1xBet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.86%EV -11.39%E -3.89%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.14%EV -4.43%E -3.23%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 18:45
MyBookie.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.13%EV -17.14%E -6.25%K -9.85%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.87%EV -0.943%E -0.664%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 18:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.17I 31.55%NM 31.39%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.61%0.5%2026-04-11 18:50