The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Texas Tech Red Raiders v UTSA Roadrunners

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local)

Prediction 41.77%2.39fair odd
EV +4.42%
Edge +1.77%
Kelly +2.95%
Growth +0.130%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%41.65%41.86%43.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.262.252.5046.51%44.17%44.44%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UTSA Roadrunners (Visit)

Prediction 58.23%1.72fair odd
EV -3.92%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -6.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.58%58.35%58.14%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.591.611.6566.67%62.78%62.11%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local): 41.77%; UTSA Roadrunners (Visit): 58.23%. For Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.42%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +4.42%E +1.77%K +2.95%G +0.130%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -12.65%E -8.44%K -25.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 15:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -4.77%E -2.09%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.25%E -3.88%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -4.77%E -2.09%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.25%E -3.88%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 19:25
BetUS🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -4.77%E -2.09%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.25%E -3.88%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 19:25
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -4.77%E -2.09%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 21:55
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -4.77%E -2.09%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 21:55
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -4.77%E -2.09%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 21:55
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.02%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 15:54
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.02%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 23:25
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.02%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.58%E -5.46%K -15.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.02%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.58%E -5.46%K -15.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 21:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.02%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.58%E -5.46%K -15.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 21:55
FanDuel🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -6.44%E -2.87%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -5.08%E -3.12%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 21:55
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.44%E -2.87%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 15:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -6.85%E -3.07%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.25%E -3.88%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 21:54
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.25%E -3.88%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 15:59
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.20%E -4.74%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.92%E -2.38%K -6.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 22:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%5.2%2026-03-10 23:05