Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders v Kansas Jayhawks

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

63%

37%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local)

Prediction 62.71%1.59fair odd

EV -4.05%

Edge -2.64%

Kelly -7.64%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

61.52%62.90%62.50%64.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.441.491.501.5369.44%67.17%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas Jayhawks (Visit)

Prediction 37.29%2.68fair odd

EV -3.06%

Edge -1.18%

Kelly -1.91%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

35.64%37.10%37.50%38.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.402.522.502.6041.67%39.65%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local): 62.71%; Kansas Jayhawks (Visit): 37.29%. For Kansas Jayhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -3.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.92%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-15 14:34
1xBet🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -4.67%E -3.07%K -8.99%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -9.40%E -3.87%K -6.57%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-15 17:10
DraftKings🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.79%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-14 22:45
LowVig.ag🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.79%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-15 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.79%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-15 14:35
BetUS🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -5.30%E -3.51%K -10.39%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -7.53%E -3.04%K -5.09%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-15 15:25
theScore Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.86%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.06%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-15 16:15
BetMGM🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.86%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.79%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-14 23:55
Bovada🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.86%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.79%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-15 00:09
Betway🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.18%E -4.85%K -14.96%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.79%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-15 16:15
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.62%G +0.000%	2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -4.18%E -1.63%K -2.66%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-15 16:18
Fliff🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -7.81%E -5.31%K -16.62%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -10.51%E -4.38%K -7.51%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-03-15 16:15
BetRivers🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.03%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -3.06%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-15 16:15
betPARX🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.03%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -3.06%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-15 16:10
Bally Bet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.03%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -3.06%E -1.18%K -1.91%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-15 16:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.69%	2.47I 40.49%NM 37.31%	8.5%	2026-03-15 17:50