Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders v Kansas Jayhawks

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

65%

35%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local)

Prediction 65.23%1.53fair odd

EV -3.46%

Edge -2.34%

Kelly -7.22%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

63.61%65.25%65.06%67.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.401.441.431.4871.43%69.64%69.93%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas Jayhawks (Visit)

Prediction 34.77%2.88fair odd

EV -0.897%

Edge -0.315%

Kelly -0.485%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.94%34.75%34.94%36.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.502.682.652.8540.00%37.32%37.74%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local): 65.23%; Kansas Jayhawks (Visit): 34.77%. For Kansas Jayhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.85, with an expected value of -0.897%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.22%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.59%E -3.69%K -5.99%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-14 04:05
1xBet🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -4.12%E -2.80%K -8.76%G +0.000%	2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -10.63%E -4.14%K -6.77%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-14 18:25
theScore Bet🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.42%E -3.74%K -12.05%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.11%E -2.26%K -3.60%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-14 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%	2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.37%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-14 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%	2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV -5.76%E -2.13%K -3.37%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-14 17:55
BetUS🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.07%E -4.22%K -13.80%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.85%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-03-14 17:55
FanDuel🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -6.73%E -4.70%K -15.64%G +0.000%	2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -4.03%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-14 18:40
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.29%EV -6.73%E -4.70%K -15.64%G +0.000%	2.69I 37.17%NM 34.71%EV -6.46%E -2.40%K -3.82%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-14 18:50
Betway🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.73%E -4.70%K -15.64%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.85%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-03-14 18:40
BetRivers🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.73%E -4.70%K -15.64%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.85%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-03-14 15:05
Bally Bet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.73%E -4.70%K -15.64%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.85%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-03-14 15:05
betPARX🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.73%E -4.70%K -15.64%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.85%E -2.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-03-14 15:05
Fliff🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -6.73%E -4.70%K -15.64%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -13.07%E -5.23%K -8.71%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-03-14 15:50
DraftKings🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -8.03%E -5.70%K -19.59%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -0.897%E -0.315%K -0.485%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-14 18:39
Bovada🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.71%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -0.897%E -0.315%K -0.485%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-14 18:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%	2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%	5.3%	2026-03-14 18:39