The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Texas Tech Red Raiders v Houston Cougars

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local)

Prediction 60.84%1.64fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -3.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.29%60.67%60.61%61.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.561.551.6165.36%64.27%64.52%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 39.16%2.55fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -0.839%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.35%39.33%39.39%41.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.382.392.5044.44%42.01%41.84%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local): 60.84%; Houston Cougars (Visit): 39.16%. For Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.61, with an expected value of -2.05%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.05%E -1.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 15:09
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -2.05%E -1.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 15:19
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.09%E -3.26%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.10%E -0.839%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 15:10
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.09%E -3.26%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.01%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 13:44
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.09%E -3.26%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.01%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.09%E -3.26%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.41%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 15:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.09%E -3.26%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.41%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 15:05
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -5.70%E -3.68%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -7.58%E -3.21%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 16:19
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -5.70%E -3.68%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -9.15%E -3.94%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 15:09
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -5.70%E -3.68%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -9.15%E -3.94%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 15:09
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -5.70%E -3.68%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -9.15%E -3.94%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 15:10
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.92%E -4.52%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -3.66%E -1.49%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 15:14
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.92%E -4.52%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.06%E -1.66%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 14:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.92%E -4.52%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.06%E -1.66%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 15:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.92%E -4.52%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.01%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 15:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%5.3%2026-04-04 16:24