Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders v Houston Cougars

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

66%

34%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local)

Prediction 66.49%1.50fair odd

EV -4.92%

Edge -3.44%

Kelly -11.44%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

65.70%66.59%66.35%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.401.411.411.4371.43%70.92%70.92%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 33.51%2.98fair odd

EV -2.82%

Edge -0.974%

Kelly -1.49%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.56%33.41%33.65%34.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.722.792.772.9036.76%35.80%36.10%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local): 66.49%; Houston Cougars (Visit): 33.51%. For Houston Cougars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -2.82%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.92%E -3.44%K -11.44%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.50%E -1.58%K -2.43%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-04-02 09:10
DraftKings🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.58%E -3.93%K -13.29%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.18%E -2.21%K -3.43%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-01 19:44
theScore Bet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.58%E -3.93%K -13.29%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.18%E -2.21%K -3.43%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-02 21:10
1xBet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -5.58%E -3.93%K -13.29%G +0.000%	2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -8.86%E -3.26%K -5.15%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-04-02 07:29
LowVig.ag🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.25%E -4.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.50%E -1.58%K -2.43%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-02 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.25%E -4.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.50%E -1.58%K -2.43%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-02 16:35
BetUS🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -6.25%E -4.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%	2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -7.18%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-02 16:39
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -6.25%E -4.43%K -15.24%G +0.000%	2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -7.18%E -2.59%K -4.06%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-02 17:38
BetMGM🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.91%E -4.94%K -17.28%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.82%E -0.974%K -1.49%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-02 16:49
BetRivers🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.91%E -4.94%K -17.28%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.85%E -2.85%K -4.49%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-02 19:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.91%E -4.94%K -17.28%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.85%E -2.85%K -4.49%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-02 19:55
betPARX🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.91%E -4.94%K -17.28%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.85%E -2.85%K -4.49%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-02 19:55
Betway🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.91%E -4.94%K -17.28%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.85%E -2.85%K -4.49%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-02 22:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.38I 72.46%NM 66.83%	2.78I 35.97%NM 33.17%	8.4%	2026-04-02 23:15