Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders v Houston Cougars

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local)

Prediction 64.34%1.55fair odd
EV -4.78%
Edge -3.23%
Kelly -9.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.28%64.32%64.36%64.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.461.451.4869.93%68.66%68.97%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 35.66%2.80fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.19%35.68%35.64%36.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.622.622.7039.22%38.15%38.17%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local): 64.34%; Houston Cougars (Visit): 35.66%. For Houston Cougars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -3.71%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.78%E -3.23%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 15:32
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.78%E -3.23%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 15:35
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.78%E -3.23%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 16:20
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.78%E -3.23%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 15:46
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -5.42%E -3.69%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -5.85%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 16:13
1xBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -5.42%E -3.69%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -8.35%E -3.25%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -6.71%E -4.63%K -14.91%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -4.78%E -1.79%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -6.71%E -4.63%K -14.91%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -4.78%E -1.79%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 15:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -6.71%E -4.63%K -14.91%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -6.92%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 16:30
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.71%E -4.63%K -14.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 16:04
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.35%E -5.11%K -16.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 16:20
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -8.00%E -5.59%K -18.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -6.21%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 16:20
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -8.00%E -5.59%K -18.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -6.21%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 16:20
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -8.00%E -5.59%K -18.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -6.21%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%5.0%2026-04-03 18:54