Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.48
assuming max odds 2.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local): 64.34%; Houston Cougars (Visit): 35.66%. For Houston Cougars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -3.71%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.78%E -3.23%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 15:32 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.78%E -3.23%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-03 15:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.78%E -3.23%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-03 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.78%E -3.23%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.06%E -3.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 15:46 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -5.42%E -3.69%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -5.85%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 16:13 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -5.42%E -3.69%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -8.35%E -3.25%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -6.71%E -4.63%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -4.78%E -1.79%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -6.71%E -4.63%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -4.78%E -1.79%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 15:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -6.71%E -4.63%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -6.92%E -2.65%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 16:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.71%E -4.63%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-03 16:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.35%E -5.11%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.28%E -2.80%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 16:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -8.00%E -5.59%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -6.21%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 16:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -8.00%E -5.59%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -6.21%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 16:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -8.00%E -5.59%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -6.21%E -2.36%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 16:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 18:54 |