Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders v BYU Cougars

Kickoff: 2026-05-07 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local)

Prediction 61.71%1.62fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -6.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.36%61.79%61.62%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.521.531.5667.11%65.76%65.36%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BYU Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 38.29%2.61fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -2.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%38.21%38.38%39.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.362.462.462.5042.37%40.71%40.65%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local): 61.71%; BYU Cougars (Visit): 38.29%. For Texas Tech Red Raiders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.56, with an expected value of -3.74%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.74%E -2.40%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.26%E -1.71%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 16:34
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -4.36%E -2.81%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -9.63%E -4.08%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 19:47
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -4.97%E -3.23%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -7.33%E -3.03%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 16:30
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.26%E -1.71%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 20:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.80%E -2.36%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.80%E -2.36%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 16:45
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 17:20
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.18%E -2.52%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 16:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.17%EV -5.59%E -3.65%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -7.71%E -3.20%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 17:38
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.82%E -4.52%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.26%E -1.71%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 21:19
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.44%E -4.96%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.26%E -1.71%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 05:39
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.44%E -4.96%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.09%E -3.37%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 16:29
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -8.06%E -5.41%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -5.03%E -2.03%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 13:40
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -8.06%E -5.41%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -5.03%E -2.03%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 13:39
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -8.06%E -5.41%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -5.03%E -2.03%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 13:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%4.9%2026-05-07 23:20