The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Texas State Bobcats v UTSA Roadrunners

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas State Bobcats (Local)

Prediction 33.87%2.95fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.611%
Kelly -0.933%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%33.77%33.77%35.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.592.752.752.9038.61%36.39%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UTSA Roadrunners (Visit)

Prediction 66.13%1.51fair odd
EV -5.44%
Edge -3.80%
Kelly -12.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.75%66.23%66.23%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.411.421.4371.43%70.67%70.67%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas State Bobcats (Local): 33.87%; UTSA Roadrunners (Visit): 66.13%. For Texas State Bobcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.95. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -1.77%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.77%E -0.611%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-24 18:00
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.44%E -3.80%K -12.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 14:05
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.16%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.10%E -4.29%K -14.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 15:15
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.44%E -3.80%K -12.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 04:49
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.44%E -3.80%K -12.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 14:30
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 08:01
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 08:02
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 08:02
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 22:39
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 22:39
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.85%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.29%EV -7.19%E -2.62%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.71%EV -5.44%E -3.80%K -12.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 23:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.29%EV -7.19%E -2.62%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.71%EV -5.44%E -3.80%K -12.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-24 23:55
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.44%E -3.80%K -12.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 22:32
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.44%E -3.80%K -12.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 16:05
1xBet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.25%EV -12.27%E -4.74%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.75%EV -6.76%E -4.79%K -16.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-24 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.