The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Texas State Bobcats v Texas Longhorns

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas State Bobcats (Local)

Prediction 21.36%4.68fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.381%
Kelly -0.487%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.28%21.24%21.43%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.414.404.6023.81%22.70%22.73%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Longhorns (Visit)

Prediction 78.64%1.27fair odd
EV -5.63%
Edge -4.69%
Kelly -28.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.78%78.76%78.57%79.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.191.201.2085.47%83.83%83.33%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas State Bobcats (Local): 21.36%; Texas Longhorns (Visit): 78.64%. For Texas State Bobcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.60, with an expected value of -1.75%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.75%E -0.381%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.99%E -6.83%K -46.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 18:30
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.89%E -0.864%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-10 15:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.89%E -0.864%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-10 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.89%E -0.864%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-10 15:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.89%E -0.864%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-10 17:49
DraftKings🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 15:53
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 17:25
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 18:05
BetOnline.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-10 18:05
MyBookie.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.42%E -5.39%K -33.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 18:34
BetRivers🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.20%E -6.10%K -40.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 18:40
Bally Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.20%E -6.10%K -40.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 18:40
betPARX🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.20%E -6.10%K -40.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 18:40
1xBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -9.23%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 22:10
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.23%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.20%E -6.10%K -40.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-10 17:50
BetUS🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.30%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.63%E -4.69%K -28.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 18:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎4.41I 22.68%NM 21.53%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.47%5.3%2026-03-10 22:45