The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Texas State Bobcats v Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Kickoff: 2026-04-08 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas State Bobcats (Local)

Prediction 74.46%1.34fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -3.06%
Kelly -13.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.07%74.38%74.45%75.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.261.261.2980.65%79.43%79.37%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Visit)

Prediction 25.54%3.92fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -0.775%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.60%25.62%25.55%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.633.553.8028.57%27.53%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas State Bobcats (Local): 74.46%; Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Visit): 25.54%. For Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -2.94%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.95%E -3.06%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-08 02:20
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.69%E -3.67%K -16.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 06:13
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.94%E -0.775%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 20:45
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 19:45
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 19:44
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.18%E -4.91%K -23.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-08 19:45
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.94%E -0.775%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 13:15
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.93%E -5.54%K -27.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-08 14:44
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.67%E -6.19%K -31.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -2.94%E -0.775%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 10:10
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.30%EV -7.67%E -6.19%K -31.96%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.70%EV -3.45%E -0.914%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 16:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.