The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Texas State Bobcats v Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas State Bobcats (Local)

Prediction 47.00%2.13fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -3.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%46.99%47.05%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.002.002.0551.28%50.13%50.13%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Visit)

Prediction 53.00%1.89fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -3.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.01%52.95%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.771.771.8357.47%56.52%56.66%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas State Bobcats (Local): 47.00%; Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Visit): 53.00%. For Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -3.02%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.79%E -4.47%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 13:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.79%E -4.47%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 13:19
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.79%E -4.47%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 13:30
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.79%E -4.47%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 14:39
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.99%E -3.00%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.20%E -3.50%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 13:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.99%E -3.00%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.20%E -3.50%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 13:48
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -6.46%E -3.25%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -3.02%E -1.65%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.34%E -4.28%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.61%E -2.56%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 12:40
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.34%E -4.28%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.61%E -2.56%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 12:49
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.34%E -4.28%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.61%E -2.56%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 13:28
MyBookie.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -8.34%E -4.28%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -6.73%E -3.82%K -8.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 13:28
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.34%E -4.28%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.79%E -4.47%K -10.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 13:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.