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Texas State Bobcats v Baylor Bears
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Texas State Bobcats (Local)
assuming max odds 1.80
Baylor Bears (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.15
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas State Bobcats (Local): 54.84%; Baylor Bears (Visit): 45.16%. For Texas State Bobcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.80, with an expected value of -1.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.29%E -0.718%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.93%E -6.12%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.29%E -0.718%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.93%E -6.12%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 18:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.29%E -0.718%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.93%E -6.12%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 18:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-05 18:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-05 18:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.06%E -2.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-05 18:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.33%E -4.33%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-04 23:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -7.33%E -4.33%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -3.35%E -1.57%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-04 23:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -7.33%E -4.33%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -5.61%E -2.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 19:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.33%E -4.33%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 18:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.87%E -4.69%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.06%E -2.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 18:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.87%E -4.69%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.06%E -2.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 18:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.87%E -4.69%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.06%E -2.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 18:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.42%E -5.04%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 00:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.1% | 2026-05-05 22:25 |