The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Texas Longhorns v UTSA Roadrunners

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Longhorns (Local)

Prediction 68.08%1.47fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -6.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.54%67.93%68.49%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.381.361.4374.63%72.44%73.53%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UTSA Roadrunners (Visit)

Prediction 31.92%3.13fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.337%
Kelly -0.497%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.49%32.07%31.51%34.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.722.923.003.1036.76%34.24%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Longhorns (Local): 68.08%; UTSA Roadrunners (Visit): 31.92%. For UTSA Roadrunners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -1.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.65%E -1.85%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.02%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-05 13:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -2.65%E -1.85%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -11.26%E -4.05%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 15:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -2.65%E -1.85%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -11.26%E -4.05%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 15:53
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -2.65%E -1.85%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV -13.17%E -4.84%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 15:55
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.33%E -2.34%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.62%E -3.79%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 23:25
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -4.01%E -2.84%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -10.62%E -3.79%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 00:39
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.45%EV -5.37%E -3.86%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -8.07%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 20:20
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.05%E -4.39%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.24%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 20:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.14%EV -6.73%E -4.91%K -18.20%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.86%EV -6.47%E -2.21%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 20:20
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.04%E -0.337%K -0.497%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 20:05
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.24%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 16:10
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.24%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 22:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.24%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 22:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.24%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 22:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.24%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 20:09
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.41%E -5.45%K -20.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.02%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-05 20:05
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -8.77%E -6.55%K -25.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -4.24%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 20:05
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -8.77%E -6.55%K -25.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -4.24%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -8.77%E -6.55%K -25.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -4.24%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.29%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.71%2.4%2026-05-05 22:00